Iowa Men's Basketball

Iowa, Iowa State bracketology: NCAA tournament projections on Selection Sunday

Iowa's Tyler Cook drives past Illinois' Adonis De La Rosa during a Big Ten men's basketball tournament second-round game Thursday at the United Center in Chicago. (Cliff Jette/The Gazette)
Iowa's Tyler Cook drives past Illinois' Adonis De La Rosa during a Big Ten men's basketball tournament second-round game Thursday at the United Center in Chicago. (Cliff Jette/The Gazette)
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Happy Selection Sunday, everyone. By Sunday night, we’ll have a complete NCAA Division I men’s basketball bracket.

Ahead of Sunday’s 5 p.m. selection show, let’s take a look at the current prospects and projections for Iowa and Iowa State.

Iowa

The Hawkeyes will get an at-large bid to the Big Dance after a two-year hiatus.

RANKINGS

The committee will consider a number of computer rankings, including the NCAA Evaluation Tool (or NET). Here’s where Iowa stands, with links to view the full rankings and learn more about how they’re calculated.

NET: 43

KPI: 46

Strength of Record: 27

ESPN BPI: 37

KenPom: 36

Sagarin: 42

 

WINS AND LOSSES BY QUADRANT

The NET is also used to determine four quadrants on a team’s schedule to sort wins and losses based on the opponent’s ranking and the location of the game. Quadrant 1 wins matter the most, as do Quadrant 4 losses.

Quadrant 1: Home vs. Nos. 1-30, Neutral vs. Nos. 1-50, Away vs. Nos. 1-75

4-10

Wins: vs. Michigan, vs. Iowa State, at Penn State, at Indiana

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Losses: at Michigan State, vs. Michigan State, vs. Michigan (neutral), at Purdue, at Wisconsin, vs. Wisconsin, vs. Maryland, at Nebraska, at Ohio State, at Minnesota

Quadrant 2: Home vs. Nos. 31-55, Neutral vs. Nos. 51-75, Away vs. Nos. 76-100

7-0

Wins: vs. Nebraska, vs. Indiana, vs. Ohio State, vs. Oregon (neutral), at Northwestern, at Rutgers, vs. Connecticut (neutral)

Losses: none

Quadrant 3: Home vs. Nos. 76-160, Neutral vs. Nos. 101-200, Away vs. Nos. 136-200

5-1

Wins: vs. Northwestern, vs. Illinois, vs. Illinois (neutral), vs. Pittsburgh, vs. Northern Iowa (neutral)

Losses: vs. Rutgers

Quadrant 4: Home vs. No. 161+, Neutral vs. No. 201+, Away vs. No. 241+

6-0

Wins: vs. Green Bay, vs. UMKC, vs. Western Carolina, vs. Bryant, vs. Alabama State, vs. Savannah State

Losses: none

Average NET win: 134

Average NET loss: 33

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CHICAGO - Two days at the Big Ten men's basketball tournament, two starkly different days at the United Center for Iowa's team.

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OTHER DATA

Road record: 4-6

Strength of schedule: 86

Non-conference strength of schedule: 302

SELECTION SUNDAY BRACKETOLOGY

Now, where do bracketologists see the Hawkeyes landing as of Sunday morning?

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Joe Lunardi, ESPN: No. 8-seed vs. No. 9 Ole Miss (at Columbia, S.C.)

Howie Schwab, Fox Sports:  No. 9-seed vs. No. 8 Syracuse

Jerry Palm, CBS Sports: No. 8-seed vs. No. 9 VCU (at Columbia, S.C.)

Dave Ommen, NBC Sports: No. 8-seed vs. No. 9 Utah State (at Jacksonville, Fla.)

Shelby Mast, USA TODAY Sports: No. 8-seed vs. No. 9 Utah State (at Columbus, Ohio)

Kerry Miller, Bleacher Report: No. 9-seed vs. No. 8 Central Florida

 

Iowa State

The Cyclones (23-11) receive an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament by winning the Big 12 tournament, though they would have been an at-large lock had they lost.

RANKINGS

The committee will consider a number of computer rankings, including the NCAA Evaluation Tool (or NET). Here’s where Iowa State stands, with links to view the full rankings and learn more about how they’re calculated.

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NET: 21

KPI: 18

Strength of Record: 26

ESPN BPI: 15

KenPom: 16

Sagarin: 15

 

WINS AND LOSSES BY QUADRANT

The NET is also used to determine four quadrants on a team’s schedule to sort wins and losses based on the opponent’s ranking and the location of the game. Quadrant 1 wins matter the most, as do Quadrant 4 losses.

Quadrant 1: Home vs. Nos. 1-30, Neutral vs. Nos. 1-50, Away vs. Nos. 1-75

8-7

Wins: at Texas Tech, vs. Kansas (neutral), vs. Kansas State (neutral), at Kansas State, at Mississippi, at Oklahoma, vs. Kansas, vs. Baylor (neutral)

Losses: vs. Texas Tech, at Kansas, at Texas, at Baylor, vs. Kansas State, at Iowa, at TCU

Quadrant 2: Home vs. Nos. 31-55, Neutral vs. Nos. 51-75, Away vs. Nos. 76-100

3-4

Wins: vs. Oklahoma, vs. Texas, at Oklahoma State

Losses: vs. Baylor, vs. TCU, vs. Arizona (neutral), at West Virginia

Quadrant 3: Home vs. Nos. 76-160, Neutral vs. Nos. 101-200, Away vs. Nos. 136-200

6-0

Wins: vs. Missouri, vs. Oklahoma State, vs. West Virginia, vs. Illinois (neutral), vs. San Diego State (neutral), vs. Drake (neutral)

Losses: none

Quadrant 4: Home vs. No. 161+, Neutral vs. No. 201+, Away vs. No. 241+

6-0

Wins: vs. Omaha, vs. North Dakota State, vs. Texas Southern, vs. Eastern Illinois, vs. Alabama State, vs. Southern

Losses: none

Average NET win: 112

Average NET loss: 47

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KANSAS CITY, Mo. - The Iowa State men's basketball team went into the Big 12 tournament in Kansas City on a three-game losing streak.

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OTHER DATA

Road record: 4-6

Strength of schedule: 18

Non-conference strength of schedule: 115

SELECTION SUNDAY BRACKETOLOGY

Now, where do bracketologists see the Cyclones landing as of Sunday morning.

Joe Lunardi, ESPN: No. 5-seed vs. No. 12 New Mexico State (at San Jose)

Howie Schwab, Fox Sports:  No. 5-seed vs. No. 12 Davidson

Jerry Palm, CBS Sports: No. 5-seed vs. No. 12 Saint Mary’s (at San Jose)

Dave Ommen, NBC Sports: No. 4-seed vs. No. 13 Northeastern (at Hartford, Conn.)

Shelby Mast, USA TODAY Sports: No. 5-seed vs. No. 12 UC Irvine (at San Jose)

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Kerry Miller, Bleacher Report: No. 6-seed vs. No. 11 Saint Mary’s

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We value your trust and work hard to provide fair, accurate coverage. If you have found an error or omission in our reporting, tell us here.

Or if you have a story idea we should look into? Tell us here.