New poll says Trump up big in Iowa; Grassley, too

Trump pulling ahead with independents

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A new poll says that Republican Donald Trump has sprung to an 8 point lead in Iowa.

The Monmouth University Poll, released Thursday, said that 45 percent of likely Iowa voters said they support Trump with 37 percent backing Democrat Hillary Clinton. Another 8 percent back Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent were for Green Party hopeful Jill Stein.

Six percent were undecided.

The poll comes as Trump is closing the gap with Clinton in other battleground states. In some states, polls say he has pushed ahead of her.

In Iowa, the two have been running fairly evenly, according to surveys throughout the summer.

However, this new poll says that Trump has pushed to an even bigger lead than the 2 point edge the Monmouth survey had him at in July.

The poll says that while Trump has seen his support erode among Republicans since then — and Clinton has improved her standing with Democrats — the Republican expanded his edge with independents to 15 points, 44 percent to 29 percent.

The poll also says that while Trump leads among Iowans without a college education, the two are running fairly even among voters who do have a college degree.

That is out of step with other polls, which have typically said Clinton has a decided edge over Trump with college educated voters.

“Iowa is one of the few places where Trump has been able to make inroads among voting blocs that generally support Clinton,” said Patrick Murry, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, which is based in West Long Branch, New Jersey.

The Monmouth survey, conducted Sept. 12-14, sampled the opinions of 404 Iowa residents who said they are likely to vote in the election. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

Meanwhile, the poll says that Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, is leading Democrat Patty Judge in the U.S. Senate race. Grassley had the support of 56 percent of likely voters, while 39 percent backed Judge, the former lieutenant governor. That is up from a 10 point margin the poll said Grassley held in July.

Most polls in the Senate race have put Grassley’s lead at about 7 to 10 points, although a survey from RABA Research, published earlier this week, put Grassley’s lead at 13.

Find the full poll results at

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