New poll shows Clinton with narrow lead in Iowa

Numbers show Democrat with 47-44 percent lead over Trump

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By Ed Tibbetts, Quad-City Times

Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump by three points in Iowa, even as the Democratic presidential hopeful is pulling away from the Republican in two other swing states, according to new polls released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University.

Quinnipiac’s poll in Iowa said Clinton is leading Trump head-to-head by a margin of 47-44 percent. When Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Jill Stein of the Green Party are included, Clinton’s lead is at two points, 41-39 percent.

Johnson was at 12 percent in Iowa and Stein at 3 percent, according to the poll, which was conducted Aug. 9-16 among 848 likely voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.

Quinnipiac also released polling from Colorado and Virginia, which shows Clinton leads in those states by 10 and 12 points, respectively, in head to head matchups with Trump.

Other polls have also indicated Clinton is pulling away from Trump in those states.

“The scary thing for Republicans in the Virginia and Colorado numbers is that they show a possible Hillary Clinton landslide in states that only eight years ago leaned GOP and before that had been GOP strongholds,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

In Iowa, the state’s smaller-than-average minority population is keeping the race closer than in other states, Brown said. He noted Iowa also is home to more blue collar voters Trump is attracting in other states.

The poll also shows while Trump is winning Iowa independents by a small margin, Clinton is doing better with her base than Trump is with his. The poll shows she is getting the support of 97 percent of Democrats, while Trump is getting the support of just 85 percent of Republicans.

The poll also indicates Clinton is leading among women by 18 points, while Trump is winning male voters by 14 points. Both candidates also are seen in a mostly negative light, according to the poll. Clinton was seen in an unfavorable light by 58 percent of the poll’s respondents, while Trump was seen negatively by 60 percent.

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