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Loras poll: Clinton, Trump tied in Iowa

Republican U.S. presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic U.S. presidential nominee Hillary Clinton walk away from their podiums at the conclusion of their first presidential debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York, U.S., September 26, 2016. REUTERS/Joe Raedle/Pool
Republican U.S. presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic U.S. presidential nominee Hillary Clinton walk away from their podiums at the conclusion of their first presidential debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York, U.S., September 26, 2016. REUTERS/Joe Raedle/Pool

A new poll shows Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton tied in Iowa.

The Loras College Poll, released Monday, says Clinton and Trump each won the support of 38 percent of respondents, while Libertarian Gary Johnson got 9 percent. Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 1 percent, and 13 percent were undecided, according to the poll.

The new survey is a bit of good news for Clinton. Two recent polls in the state have said Trump is leading by several points.

Still, even the Loras poll represents progress for Trump. The same poll, which is based in Dubuque, had Clinton leading by 13 points in June.

“Any advantage Clinton had over the summer has certainly evaporated,” said Christopher Budzisz, associate professor of politics and director of the Loras College Poll. “Donald Trump has been able to widen his appeal in the past several weeks, and many see Iowa as a prime electoral pick-up opportunity for the Republican candidate.”

As in many other polls, this one says Clinton leads Trump with women, while the Republican is leading with men. Clinton is winning among college graduates, while Trump is leading with those who have only a high school degree. Clinton is leading with voters younger than 34, while Trump leads with those older than 64, according to the survey.

The poll also shows that U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, has a lead over Democrat Patty Judge, 54 percent to 37 percent, with 9 percent undecided.

The poll, which was conducted Sept. 20-22, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. The poll sampled the opinions of people who are registered voters and are likely to vote in the election. The party composition for the poll’s respondents was adjusted to approximate the 2012 turnout.

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The Loras poll varies from two recent surveys of the presidential race in Iowa. Those polls said that Trump has opened up a lead over Clinton. A Quinnipiac University poll, released last week, said Trump was leading Clinton by 6 points. A Monmouth University Polling Institute survey, released the week before, had Trump leading by 8 points.

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