Predicting next four years based on history
The election is over and something most Americans once again have in common is our thoughts about what is in store for us for the next four years. Let me offer my prediction based on history.
Since at least LBJ, presidents’ second terms have been less than illustrious. Yes, technically, Johnson wasn’t re-elected. He finished JFK’s term and was elected in a landslide in 1964. But by 1968 he was sinking under Vietnam and refused to run again. Likewise, Nixon was re-elected in a landslide in 1972. He resigned in ignominy two years later. Reagan had the Iran Contra affair. Clinton was toast in his second term (can you say Monica Lewinsky?). Bush II was stuck with a seemingly endless war in the Middle East.
What could derail Obama? His green friends will demand strident regulation to address so-called global warming, deficit spending that has no realistic chance of being controlled, entitlement programs which have fallen off the cliff, and Obamacare. The Middle East teeters, Iran is on the cusp of going nuclear, the economy is sputtering, China is saber-rattling in the Pacific, and Europe could explode with its next sneeze.
I’ll predict a veto-proof Republican majority in both houses of Congress in 2014. Our next president will be Marco Rubio and Democrats will be on the endangered species list of 2016.