Iowa's over-under for football regular-season wins in 2012 is ....

All the Big Ten numbers are in this post. All of them.

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Eight for Iowa, 4.5 for Iowa State.

Here's how it works. You bet in a legal sports book (Nevada is the only state that has such things at this time) that a team will win more or less games than the number posted before the season.

Last year, for instance, the over-under on regular-season wins for Iowa was 8.5. Had you bet the over, you'd have lost. Iowa went 7-5 in the regular-season.

Here are the Big Ten numbers:

Wisconsin 9.5

Ohio State 9

Michigan 8.5

Nebraska 8.5

Iowa 8

Michigan State 8

Penn State 6.5

Purdue 6.5

Illinois 6

Northwestern 6

Minnesota 4.5

Indiana 4

So, who do you like to go over and who do you like to go under? You need to study the schedules to make this less of a guess. But without doing so I'll make two quick pics on gut feelings. I'll take Illinois under 6 because first-year head coaches of Big Ten teams often (not always, Brady Hoke, but often) have rugged first seasons. And I'll take Indiana over 4 because the Hoosiers have a fairly soft first three games and should begin to make headway under Kevin Wilson.

But looking at all 12 numbers, I see nothing that seems like a great pick. What am I missing?


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