Poll: Advantage to Dems in Senate 18 race
Mathis has 6 percentage points over Golding, results say
A Linn County race that could change the balance of power in the Iowa Senate is close enough it could go either way, but polling results released Sunday night indicate that Democrats are likely to retain their majority.
The race for the vacant Iowa Senate 18 seat is close, but it looks like Democrat Liz Mathis will defeat Republican Cindy Golding in Tuesday's special election, according to a poll conducted by Public Policy Polling.
Based on PPPís survey of 878 likely voters from Friday to Sunday, Mathis leads Golding 52 percent to 46 percent. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 3.3 percent.
If Mathis wins, Democrats will retain a 26-24 majority in the Senate, which the party and its allies see as a firewall against the GOP-controlled House and a Republican governor.
If Golding wins, the Senate would be split evenly between the parties. Republicans believe that would provide opportunities to at least begin discussion of House-passed legislation that is stalled in the Senate.
One issue sure to be the topic of discussion would be the House resolution with bipartisan support to allow Iowans to vote on a constitutional amendment to ban same-sex marriage. The Iowa Supreme Court struck down the state ban on same-sex marriage in 2009.However, the PPP poll suggests voters donít see it that way. Mathis is leading even though 46 percent of the districtís voters say same-sex marriage should be illegal. Just 42 percent think it should be legal.